On August 03, 2009 the Global Network of Forecasting the Earthquakes built on a principally new technology has started functioning at full scale. Three automatic digital earthquake prediction stations “ATROPATENA” established in Baku (Azerbaijan), Islamabad (Pakistan) and Yogyakarta (Indonesia) are combined into a global network and continuously transmit information regarding unusual gravitational precursors of earthquakes to the central database transferred from Canada to the USA. Based on all that data, the Global Network allows predicting earthquakes all over the Eastern Hemisphere with a 90% probability. The author of the new technology, Vice President of the International Academy of Science H&E, General Director of Global Network of Forecasting the Earthquakes, a known scientist, Academician, Professor Elchin Khalilov has provided some detail on the new technology.
On August 03, the third international earthquake prediction station ATROPATENA-ID installed in the Islamic University of Indonesia in Yogyakarta province was successfully put into operation. From that moment on, the heart of the world’s first Global Network of Forecasting the Earthquakes has started to beat. The first two stations were set up in the Scientific Research Institute for Prognosis and Study of Earthquakes, Baku, Azerbaijan in 2007 and the National Physics Center, Islamabad, Pakistan in February 2009.
On August 04, signing of the protocol on delivery of the International Earthquake Prediction Station ATROPATENA-ID to the province’s government took place, the protocol being signed by the Yogyakarta Governor, His Loyal Highness Sultan of Yogyakarta Province Hamengku Buwono X. and Vice President of the International Academy of Science H&E (Innsbruck, Austria), General Director of Global Network of Forecasting the Earthquakes, Professor Elchin Khalilov. On the same day, an agreement was signed between the Government of Yogyakarta Province and the Global Network of Forecasting the Earthquakes on connecting ATROPATENA-ID station to the Global Network.
The Global Network connects together “ATROPATENA” international automatic digital earthquake prediction stations based on application of a physical principle never used before. It is an absolutely new geophysical tool which makes it possible to implement a constant three-dimension monitoring of gravitational field variations. 3-7 days before a strong earthquake, whose epicenter is more than 1000km away from the stations, ATROPATENA stations register some low-frequency gravitational signals and determine the direction towards the future earthquake’s epicenter. The experience of operation of the first ATROPATENA station functioning in Baku since 2007 shows that the station has been registering gravitational variations before strong earthquakes with an accuracy exceeding 90%. For the first time in the world practice, such a precise statistical indicator for short-term earthquake prediction has been obtained. The physical principle of ATROPATENA station is patented in Geneva.
ATROPATENA station registers gravitational precursors of strong remote earthquakes, caused by tectonic waves emitted by an imminent strong earthquake’s focus if tectonic stress in it reaches some critical point.
Full members of the Global Network owning ATROPATENA stations have full access to the data registered by all international stations in real time; the data is continuously transmitted from all of the stations to the central database on the Control Server located in the USA. Access to the Global Network’s central database is provided via the Internet.
All ATROPATENA stations operate in a standalone mode and do not require any service staff to be involved. ATROPATENA international stations’ personnel carry out scientific research works on data analysis and participates in the earthquake prediction process after taking a special training course on handling the stations and analyzing the data obtained, with the following receipt of Global Network certificates.
The Global Network of Forecasting the Earthquakes (GNFE) is governed by General Director who is also Chairman of the GNFE Board. GNFE Board consists of representatives of all international stations and associate members of the Global Network who do not possess stations but have a limited access right to the central database.
Recording system of ATROPATENA-ID international station established in Indonesian Province of Yogyakarta
Direct support for the Global Network of Forecasting the Earthquakes activity is provided by the International Academy of Science H&E (Innsbruck, Austria).